NHL Hart Memorial Trophy (2026-27 NHL season)

Kalshi Hockey › NHL Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $17 today · $9.7K traded · $7K at stake · prices read 81 min ago

The odds

70%Connor McDavid
  • Connor McDavid70%▲ 3
  • Macklin Celebrini8%▼ 1
  • Kirill Kaprizov7%▲ 1
  • Nathan MacKinnon4%
  • Nikita Kucherov4%
  • Auston Matthews2%
  • Alexis Lafreniere1%
  • Quinn Hughes1%
  • Leon Draisaitl1%
  • Jack Hughes1%
  • Jack Eichel1%
  • Matthew Tkachuk1%
17 more
  • Connor Bedard1%
  • David Pastrnak1%
  • Mitch Marner1%
  • Nick Suzuki1%
  • Cale Makar1%
  • Pavel Dorofeyev1%
  • Igor Shesterkin1%
  • Kyle Connor1%
  • Sidney Crosby1%
  • Cole Caufield1%
  • Connor Hellebuyck<1%
  • William Nylander<1%
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy<1%
  • Mikko Rantanen<1%
  • Brady Tkachuk<1%
  • Artemi Panarin<1%
  • Alex Ovechkin<1%

How the odds have moved

Connor McDavid: 38% on Oct 20, 70% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 31, 9 PM ETConnor McDavid: 51% → 56%
  2. Oct 25, 10 PM ETConnor McDavid: 53% → 59%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Connor McDavid 70% ▲ 3 70¢ 71¢ $1.41 10.3K
Macklin Celebrini 8% ▼ 1 8¢ 9¢ $11.76 12.0K
Kirill Kaprizov 7% ▲ 1 3¢ 12¢ $8.33 6.6K
Nathan MacKinnon 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.35 5.0K
Nikita Kucherov 4% 2¢ 6¢ $15.87 3.3K
Auston Matthews 2% 0¢ 5¢ $20.00 3.6K
Alexis Lafreniere 1% 1¢ 2¢ $45.45
Quinn Hughes 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 4.3K
Leon Draisaitl 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.7K
Jack Hughes 1% 0¢ 3¢ $37.04 5.9K
Jack Eichel 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 3.4K
Matthew Tkachuk 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 2.4K
Connor Bedard 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 3.7K
David Pastrnak 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 3.5K
Mitch Marner 1% 2¢ $50.00 2.2K
Nick Suzuki 1% 2¢ $50.00 2.5K
Cale Makar 1% 2¢ $52.63 2.0K
Pavel Dorofeyev 1% 2¢ $52.63
Igor Shesterkin 1% 2¢ $55.56 2.3K
Kyle Connor 1% 2¢ $55.56
Sidney Crosby 1% 0¢ 2¢ $58.82 2.9K
Cole Caufield 1% 2¢ $62.50 2.1K
Connor Hellebuyck <1% 1¢ 2.7K
William Nylander <1% 1¢ 166
Andrei Vasilevskiy <1% 1¢
Mikko Rantanen <1% 1¢ 115
Brady Tkachuk <1% 1¢ 117
Artemi Panarin <1% 1¢ 311
Alex Ovechkin <1% 0¢ 1.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

73%Connor McDavid
  • Connor McDavid73%▲ 4
  • Kirill Kaprizov8%
  • Macklin Celebrini5%▲ 1
  • Nathan MacKinnon3%▼ 1
114 more
  • Zach Werenski3%▲ 2
  • Adrian Kempe2%▲ 2
  • Quinton Byfield2%▼ 1
  • Alexander Ovechkin2%▲ 1
  • Jack Eichel2%
  • Jack Hughes2%
  • Auston Matthews2%▼ 2
  • Jake Oettinger2%▲ 1
  • Aleksander Barkov1%▲ 1
  • Alexander Nikishin1%▲ 1
  • Andrei Svechnikov1%▲ 1
  • Alex DeBrincat1%
  • Evgeni Malkin1%
  • Artemi Panarin1%
  • Claude Giroux1%▲ 1
  • Cutter Gauthier1%
  • Brad Marchand1%▲ 1
  • Kyle Connor1%
  • Alexis Lafrenière1%
  • Brock Faber1%
  • Wyatt Johnston1%
  • Carter Verhaeghe1%
  • Brayden Point1%
  • Brock Boeser1%
  • Anze Kopitar1%
  • Jason Robertson1%
  • Adin Hill1%
  • Connor Hellebuyck1%▼ 1
  • Jake Guentzel1%
  • Roman Josi1%
  • Connor Bedard1%
  • Erik Karlsson1%
  • Filip Forsberg1%
  • Lane Hutson1%
  • Logan Thompson1%
  • Martin Necas1%
  • Ilya Sorokin1%
  • Tim Stutzle1%
  • Chris Kreider1%
  • Elias Pettersson1%
  • Jesper Bratt1%
  • Linus Ullmark1%
  • Mark Scheifele1%
  • Nikita Kucherov1%▼ 1
  • Sam Reinhart1%
  • Sebastian Aho1%
  • Victor Hedman1%
  • Juuse Saros1%
  • Mathew Barzal1%
  • Quinn Hughes1%
  • Sergei Bobrovsky1%
  • Seth Jarvis1%
  • Thatcher Demko1%
  • Clayton Keller1%
  • Jonathan Huberdeau1%
  • Jonathan Toews1%
  • Jordan Kyrou1%
  • Kevin Fiala1%
  • Kirill Marchenko1%
  • Matty Beniers1%
PolymarketCloses Jun 30, 2027 · $4.9K today · $55.5K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: NHL Hart Memorial Trophy, Connor McDavid, Macklin Celebrini

Search ›
  • Sharks star Macklin Celebrini refuses to disclose message from players-only meetingClutchPoints · 39 h agoMacklin Celebrini declined to spill details of the Sharks' players-only meeting held in the aftermath of their heavy 7-2 loss to the Kings. The San Jose Sharks held a players-only meeting after their disappointing 7-2 loss to the Los…
  • 1 insane stat shows Connor McDavid’s dominanceThe Big Lead · 37 h agoNHL defensemen must have some sleepless nights when they have to play Connor McDavid the next night. He’s been on an absolute tear at the start of the season, and it has helped the Edmonton Oilers in the win column. The Oilers are 11-2-3…
  • Matt Boldy’s Breakout Gives Kirill Kaprizov And Minnesota Wild A New AdvantageNDTV Sports · 42 h agoBoldy arrived in Minnesota with a reputation as a smooth, reliable winger. Good hands, smart positioning, decent production. But “decent” wasn't going to be enough for a team eyeing a deep playoff run. This season feels different. He's…
  • Oilers' Connor McDavid is the 'apple king' of the NHLYardbarker · 2 days agoEdmonton Oilers captain Connor McDavid has scored assists in 16 consecutive games and can be officially crowned the "apple king" in the NHL this season. McDavid has caught fire as his assist streak has been the longest active in NHL…
  • Sharks take losing streak into game against the WildABC News · 41 h agoThe San Jose Sharks look to break a three-game slide with a victory over the Minnesota Wild San Jose Sharks (7-9-1, in the Pacific Division) vs. Minnesota Wild (11-3-3, in the Central Division) Saint Paul, Minnesota; Friday, 8 p.m. EST…
  • Watch Oilers’ Connor McDavid unleash filthy shootout goal against Connor HellebuyckClutchPoints · 3 days agoOilers captain Connor McDavid, who continued his assist-streak, scored a filthy shootout goal on Connor Hellebuyck on Tuesday. Even though the Edmonton Oilers ultimately fell in a shootout against the New Jersey Devils on Tuesday evening…
  • Adrian Kempe scores a hat trick as the Kings beat the Sharks 7-2Yahoo Sports · 2 days agoErik Haula and Joel Armia also scored for the Kings and Darcy Kuemper made 30 saves. Artemi Panarin had four assists. It was the 37th multigoal game Kempe has had with the Kings, moving him past Dustin Brown for sole possession of ninth…
  • Why Macklin Celebrini believes the Sharks’ scoring slump will end soonSanta Cruz Sentinel · 3 days agoSAN JOSE – It’s likely no coincidence that the San Jose Sharks are struggling to generate offense on both the power play and at even strength, as Macklin Celebrini remains mired in one of the longest goal-scoring droughts of his NHL…
  • Devils Take Down Connor McDavid and the Oilers 4-3 in the ShootoutAll About The Jersey · 3 days agoThe Oilers have the best player in the world and two former NHL MVPs. The Devils just beat them. We just watched the Devils take down the strongest offensive team in the world. This turning of the tables paid off for Edmonton at 8:29…
  • Highlights: Senators at Sabres (11/4) Stream of National Hockey LeagueCBS Sports · 2 days agoCBS Sports Highlights: Senators at Sabres (11/4) Highlights from the game between the Senators and the Sabres on Wednesday, November 4th Connor McDavid on Pace for Historic NHL Season Rangers' Igor Shesterkin to Miss Remainder of the…
  • TST Best Bets: November 5, 2026Yahoo Sports · 36 h agoThe Anaheim Ducks continue their road trip throughout Canada tonight against the Edmonton Oilers. The Ducks kicked off the trip with a 5-4 win over the Vancouver Canucks. Ducks' left winger Cutter Gauthier delivered his second-consecutive…
  • Sharks vs Kings Game Preview: Kings looking to Avoid 2nd Straight lossYahoo Sports · 2 days agoThe Kings are coming off a 3-2 loss to the Buffalo Sabres and turn their focus to the San Jose Sharks tonight as they try to get back in the win column. The Sharks are coming off a 2-1 loss to the Calgary Flames and will look to bounce…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4IceHockey. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4IceHockey, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4IceHockey index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4IceHockey Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions