NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

Polymarket Hockey › NHL Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $4.9K today · $55.5K traded · $5.4K at stake · prices read 32 min ago

The odds

74%Connor McDavid

Connor McDavid74%▲ 3
Kirill Kaprizov8%
Macklin Celebrini5%▲ 1
Nathan MacKinnon3%▼ 1
Zach Werenski3%▲ 2
Adrian Kempe2%▲ 2
Quinton Byfield2%▼ 1
Alexander Ovechkin2%▲ 1
Jack Eichel2%
Jack Hughes2%
Auston Matthews2%▼ 2
Jake Oettinger2%▲ 1

106 more

Aleksander Barkov1%▲ 1
Alexander Nikishin1%▲ 1
Andrei Svechnikov1%▲ 1
Alex DeBrincat1%▲ 1
Evgeni Malkin1%▲ 1
Artemi Panarin1%▲ 1
Claude Giroux1%▲ 1
Cutter Gauthier1%▲ 1
Brad Marchand1%▲ 1
Kyle Connor1%▲ 1
Alexis Lafrenière1%
Brock Faber1%▲ 1
Wyatt Johnston1%
Carter Verhaeghe1%
Brayden Point1%
Brock Boeser1%
Anze Kopitar1%
Jason Robertson1%
Adin Hill1%
Connor Hellebuyck1%
Jake Guentzel1%
Roman Josi1%
Connor Bedard1%
Erik Karlsson1%
Filip Forsberg1%
Lane Hutson1%
Logan Thompson1%
Martin Necas1%
Ilya Sorokin1%
Tim Stutzle1%
Chris Kreider1%
Elias Pettersson1%
Jesper Bratt1%
Linus Ullmark1%
Mark Scheifele1%
Nikita Kucherov1%▼ 1
Sam Reinhart1%
Sebastian Aho1%
Victor Hedman1%
Juuse Saros1%
Mathew Barzal1%
Quinn Hughes1%
Sergei Bobrovsky1%
Seth Jarvis1%
Thatcher Demko1%
Clayton Keller1%
Jonathan Huberdeau1%
Jonathan Toews1%
Jordan Kyrou1%
Kevin Fiala1%
Kirill Marchenko1%
Matty Beniers1%
Matvei Michkov1%
Nick Suzuki1%
Patrick Kane1%
Robert Thomas1%
Ryan O'Reilly1%
Tage Thompson1%
Tomas Hertl1%
Will Smith1%

How the odds have moved

Connor McDavid: 45% on Oct 20, 74% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 31, 9 PM ETConnor McDavid: 54% → 59%

No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Connor McDavid	74%	▲ 3	73¢	74¢	$1.35	$20.7K
Kirill Kaprizov	8%		7¢	8¢	$12.35	$815
Macklin Celebrini	5%	▲ 1	5¢	5¢	$18.52	$2.9K
Nathan MacKinnon	3%	▼ 1	2¢	5¢	$21.28	$5.1K
Zach Werenski	3%	▲ 2	0¢	5¢	$20.83	$252
Adrian Kempe	2%	▲ 2		5¢	$20.41	$212
Quinton Byfield	2%	▼ 1		4¢	$27.03	$212
Alexander Ovechkin	2%	▲ 1		3¢	$30.30	$212
Jack Eichel	2%		1¢	2¢	$45.45	$339
Jack Hughes	2%		1¢	2¢	$45.45	$294
Auston Matthews	2%	▼ 2	1¢	2¢	$41.67	$779
Jake Oettinger	2%	▲ 1	0¢	3¢	$34.48	$246
Aleksander Barkov	1%	▲ 1		3¢	$35.71	$212
Alexander Nikishin	1%	▲ 1		3¢	$35.71	$212
Andrei Svechnikov	1%	▲ 1		3¢	$37.04	$212
Alex DeBrincat	1%	▲ 1		3¢	$38.46	$212
Evgeni Malkin	1%	▲ 1		3¢	$38.46	$224
Artemi Panarin	1%	▲ 1	0¢	2¢	$41.67	$256
Claude Giroux	1%	▲ 1		3¢	$40.00	$212
Cutter Gauthier	1%	▲ 1	0¢	2¢	$41.67	$239
Brad Marchand	1%	▲ 1		2¢	$41.67	$212
Kyle Connor	1%	▲ 1	0¢	2¢	$43.48	$239
Alexis Lafrenière	1%			2¢	$43.48	$212
Brock Faber	1%	▲ 1		2¢	$43.48	$212
Wyatt Johnston	1%		0¢	2¢	$45.45	$241
Carter Verhaeghe	1%			2¢	$47.62	$212
Brayden Point	1%			2¢	$50.00	$210
Brock Boeser	1%			2¢	$50.00	$212
Anze Kopitar	1%			2¢	$52.63	$211
Jason Robertson	1%		0¢	2¢	$58.82	$250
Adin Hill	1%			2¢	$55.56	$211
Connor Hellebuyck	1%		0¢	1¢	$76.92	$336
Jake Guentzel	1%		0¢	2¢	$66.67	$191
Roman Josi	1%		0¢	2¢	$66.67	$204
Connor Bedard	1%		0¢	1¢	$83.33	$382
Erik Karlsson	1%		0¢	1¢	$76.92	$193
Filip Forsberg	1%		0¢	1¢	$76.92	$193
Lane Hutson	1%		0¢	1¢	$76.92	$206
Logan Thompson	1%		0¢	1¢	$71.43	$204
Martin Necas	1%		0¢	1¢	$71.43	$263
Ilya Sorokin	1%		0¢	1¢	$83.33	$191
Tim Stutzle	1%		0¢	1¢	$76.92	$286
Chris Kreider	1%			1¢	$76.92	$212
Elias Pettersson	1%		0¢	1¢	$83.33	$191
Jesper Bratt	1%		0¢	1¢	$83.33	$194
Linus Ullmark	1%		0¢	1¢	$83.33	$204
Mark Scheifele	1%			1¢	$76.92	$214
Nikita Kucherov	1%	▼ 1	1¢	1¢		$346
Sam Reinhart	1%		0¢	1¢	$83.33	$204
Sebastian Aho	1%		0¢	1¢	$83.33	$244
Victor Hedman	1%		0¢	1¢	$83.33	$199
Juuse Saros	1%		0¢	1¢	$90.91	$204
Mathew Barzal	1%		0¢	1¢	$90.91	$204
Quinn Hughes	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$204
Sergei Bobrovsky	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$204
Seth Jarvis	1%		0¢	1¢	$90.91	$197
Thatcher Demko	1%		0¢	1¢	$90.91	$196
Clayton Keller	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$232
Jonathan Huberdeau	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$205
Jonathan Toews	1%			1¢	$90.91	$212
Jordan Kyrou	1%			1¢	$90.91	$212
Kevin Fiala	1%			1¢	$90.91	$212
Kirill Marchenko	1%			1¢	$90.91	$212
Matty Beniers	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$197
Matvei Michkov	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$204
Nick Suzuki	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$204
Patrick Kane	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$204
Robert Thomas	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$204
Ryan O'Reilly	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$204
Tage Thompson	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$203
Tomas Hertl	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$203
Will Smith	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$199
William Nylander	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$206
Zach Hyman	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$206
Logan Stankoven	1%		0¢	1¢		$204
Mackenzie Blackwood	1%			1¢	$100.00	$208
Mitchell Marner	1%		0¢	1¢		$204
Nico Hischier	1%		0¢	1¢		$204
Nikolaj Ehlers	1%		0¢	1¢		$238
Roope Hintz	1%		0¢	1¢		$206
Steven Stamkos	1%		0¢	1¢		$206
Trevor Zegras	1%		0¢	1¢		$196
Brady Tkachuk	<1%			1¢		$211
Cole Caufield	<1%			1¢		$212
Dustin Wolf	<1%		0¢	1¢		$204
Lucas Raymond	<1%		0¢	1¢		$204
Mark Stone	<1%			1¢		$212
Rasmus Dahlin	<1%		0¢	1¢		$204
David Pastrnak	<1%	▼ 1	0¢	1¢		$517
Evan Bouchard	<1%		0¢	1¢		$211
Leon Draisaitl	<1%		0¢	1¢		$362
Nazem Kadri	<1%		0¢	1¢		$197
Andrei Vasilevskiy	<1%		0¢	1¢		$261
J.T. Miller	<1%		0¢	1¢		$223
Matt Boldy	<1%		0¢	1¢		$201
Adam Fox	<1%	▼ 1	0¢	0¢		$224
Cale Makar	<1%	▼ 1	0¢	0¢		$473
Elias Lindholm	<1%	▼ 1	0¢	0¢		$191
Filip Gustavsson	<1%		0¢	0¢		$191
Igor Shesterkin	<1%	▼ 1	0¢	0¢		$193
Ivan Demidov	<1%		0¢	0¢		$191
Jacob Markstrom	<1%	▼ 1	0¢	0¢		$191
John-Jason Peterka	<1%		0¢	0¢		$175
Sidney Crosby	<1%	▼ 1	0¢	0¢		$206
Darcy Kuemper	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$201
Dylan Larkin	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$201
Dylan Strome	<1%	▼ 1	0¢	0¢		$295
Jordan Binnington	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$201
Juraj Slafkovsky	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$201
Matt Duchene	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$191
Matthew Tkachuk	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$264
Mika Zibanejad	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$172
Miro Heiskanen	<1%			0¢		$194
Owen Tippett	<1%			0¢		$201
Patrik Laine	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$201
Timo Meier	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$200
Travis Konecny	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$183
Stuart Skinner	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$211

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy (2026-27 NHL season)Connor McDavidKalshi 70%Polymarket 74%4 pts apart

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy (2026-27 NHL season)

70%Connor McDavid

Connor McDavid70%▲ 3
Macklin Celebrini8%▼ 1
Kirill Kaprizov7%▲ 1
Nathan MacKinnon4%

25 more

Nikita Kucherov4%
Auston Matthews2%
Alexis Lafreniere1%
Quinn Hughes1%
Leon Draisaitl1%
Jack Hughes1%
Jack Eichel1%
Matthew Tkachuk1%
Connor Bedard1%
David Pastrnak1%
Mitch Marner1%
Nick Suzuki1%
Cale Makar1%
Pavel Dorofeyev1%
Igor Shesterkin1%
Kyle Connor1%
Sidney Crosby1%
Cole Caufield1%
Connor Hellebuyck<1%
William Nylander<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy<1%
Mikko Rantanen<1%
Brady Tkachuk<1%
Artemi Panarin<1%
Alex Ovechkin<1%

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: NHL Hart Memorial Trophy, Connor McDavid, Kirill Kaprizov

Search ›

Connor McDavid extends his assist streak to 14 games as Oilers beat Islanders 4-0CBS News · 6 days agoOctober 31, 2026 / 4:47 PM EDT / AP Connor McDavid extended his NHL-record season-opening assist streak to 14 games by setting up Ryan Nugent-Hopkins' second goal, and the Edmonton Oilers opened their road trip by beating the New York…
Connor McDavid extends his assist streak to 14 games as the Oilers beat the Islanders 4-0ABC News · 6 days agoNEW YORK -- Connor McDavid extended his NHL-record season-opening assist streak to 14 games by setting up Ryan Nugent-Hopkins' second goal, and the Edmonton Oilers opened their road trip by beating the New York Islanders 4-0 on Saturday…
Superstars Connor McDavid, Matthew Schaefer face off as Oilers visit IslandersDeadspin · 7 days agoEdmonton Oilers superstar Connor McDavid is in the midst of one of the best season-opening runs in NHL history. New York Islanders phenom Matthew Schaefer is also doing unprecedented things on a seemingly nightly basis. McDavid and…
Why Connor McDavid said Tristan Jarry “played great” after Edmonton Oilers defeated Calgary Flames 4-0 in their NHL Battle of Alberta matchThe Times of India · 8 days agoConnor McDavid praised Tristan Jarry after the Edmonton Oilers goalie stopped all 24 shots in a 4-0 victory over the Calgary Flames. Jarry delivered his first shutout of the season, making several important saves to help Edmonton secure…
Kucherov to Edmonton? The Oilers and the Star Winger Have Trade HistoryYahoo Sports · 7 days agoAs trade rumors swirl around Tampa Bay’s disgruntled winger, pairing his playmaking genius with Connor McDavid or Leon Draisaitl could turn Edmonton into an unstoppable offensive juggernaut. F1 Mexico GP 2026 – Practice 3 As trade rumors…
Islanders get served an ugly reminder in blowout loss to OilersNew York Post · 6 days agoThe Islanders never looked like the Oilers’ equal on Saturday, but for almost the first half of the game, you could at least say they were holding their own, defending hard and giving a good account of themselves. By the end of what became…
Jarry Posts Back-to-Back Shutouts as Edmonton Blanks Islanders 4-0Yahoo Sports · 7 days agoThe Edmonton Oilers beat the New York Islanders 4-0 on Saturday and improved to 10-2-2. Tristan Jarry made 18 saves for his second straight shutout, and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins scored twice. Edmonton is a perfect 6-0-0 away from home. Here are…
Insider Says Kucherov Looking to Team Up With Another NHL SuperstarHEAVY · 7 days agoIn the hours after Tampa Bay Lightning superstar Nikita Kucherov informed his team and teammates that he has no intention of re-signing, the organization said it has no intention of trading him. That hasn’t stopped fans and analysts from…
Islanders are looking good — now they can prove it against three of the league’s bestNew York Post · 7 days agoAs a reward for their valiant effort Thursday in Minnesota to knock off the Western Conference leader in points, the Islanders next host back-to-back dates with the league’s two leaders in points percentage. Before the reigning champions…
Islanders, with 18 shots on goal, shut out at UBS Arena by EdmontonNewsday · 6 days agoIslanders goaltender Ilya Sorokin looks back at the net as Edmonton Oilers center Connor McDavid celebrates a goal by center Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in the second period of an NHL hockey game at UBS Arena on Saturday. Credit: Kathleen…
Capitals take on the Wild after Hutson's 2-goal performanceFOX Sports · 7 days agoMinnesota Wild (9-3-3, in the Central Division) vs. Washington Capitals (8-4, in the Metropolitan Division) Washington; Sunday, 3:30 p.m. EST BOTTOM LINE: The Washington Capitals host the Minnesota Wild after Cole Hutson's two-goal game…
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins scores twice, Oilers shut out IslandersDeadspin · 6 days agoRyan Nugent-Hopkins opened and closed a three-goal second-period flurry Saturday afternoon for the visiting Edmonton Oilers, who cruised past the New York Islanders 4-0. Vasily Podkolzin scored the middle goal in the second while Jason…

Related markets

All nhl ›

Hockey › NHLLive 4-4 · End P3 07:24'

Blues vs. Devils

Blues<1%▼ 36

Devils>99%▲ 36

Hockey › NHLFinal 5-3 · VFT 04:58'

Ducks vs. Flames

Ducks>99%▲ 53

Flames<1%▼ 53

Hockey › NHLFinal 6-2 · VFT 04:43'

Bruins vs. Penguins

Bruins>99%▲ 49

Penguins<1%▼ 49

Hockey › NHLFinal 4-5 · VFT 05:06'

Utah vs. Canadiens

Utah<1%▼ 52

Canadiens>99%▲ 52

Hockey › NHLFinal 2-5 · VFT 07:47'

Blue Jackets vs. Sabres

Blue Jackets<1%▼ 39

Sabres>99%▲ 39

Hockey › NHLFinal 5-4 · VFT 03:55'

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4IceHockey. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesJun 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$55.5K

Today$4.9K

This week$7.2K

At stake$5.4K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4IceHockey, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4IceHockey index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4IceHockey Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions

Install